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Stats › Gestion active, passive et flux › Capping leverage

Capping leverage improved returns by 18 percentage points and pushed the same traders into more volatile stocks

MesureEstimateSignificanceÉtude
High minus low return, US 50 to 1 cap+18 pointsNone reported for the raw returnHeimer and Simsek, 2017
The same effect on alphas+19 pointsp about 1%Heimer and Simsek
Volume de transactions-0.265, about -23%Standard error 0.094, 1%Heimer and Simsek
Bid ask spreads-0.011 and -0.014Not different from zeroHeimer and Simsek
Leverage used after the European caps-1.8665, from about 6.6 to 4.7Reported as highly significantPelster
Aggregate risk, leverage times volatility-0.1830t = 20.13Pelster

The first study uses United States retail foreign exchange traders after the 18 October 2010 compliance date with European traders as the control. The second uses 49,696 investors on one European platform from March to December 2018, with non EU residents of the same platform as the control.

The United States 50 to 1 cap raised the high minus low return by 18 percentage points against European traders. The European caps cut leverage used by 1.87 and sent the same investors into higher volatility shares and cryptocurrency instead.

18 pointsTreatment effect on the high minus low return, US cap
19 points, p about 1%The same effect measured on alphas
+0.0073, t = 4.87Shift into higher volatility stocks after the European caps
+0.0176, t = 2.98Shift into cryptocurrency over the same period

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