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Stats › Intraday and market microstructure › Anti procyclicality

European clearing houses must damp margin increases by one of three methods and nobody has measured whether it works

OptionParameterWhat it does
Margin bufferAt least 25% of calculated marginHeld as a temporarily exhaustible buffer
Stressed observationsAt least 25% weight in the lookback periodKeeps a crisis in the sample permanently
Floor from a long lookbackTen year historical lookbackMargin may not fall below the long run floor
Disclosed risk appetite range25% to 80% increase over five daysWhat clearing houses say they tolerate

From Article 28 of the delegated regulation on clearing house requirements. A clearing house must apply at least one option. Which option each one picks is reported differently by two sources, and both versions are recorded in the underlying research rather than resolved here.

The rules offer a 25 per cent buffer, a 25 per cent weight on stressed observations, or a ten year lookback floor. Three official bodies across two and a half years each state that the effectiveness of these tools has not been measured.

ThreePermitted anti procyclicality options
25% of required marginBuffer option
25% weightStressed observation option
NoneOfficial measurements of whether they work

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