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Stats › Intraday et microstructure de marché › Square root impact law

The square root law of market impact has an r squared of 0.0035

Étude et échantillonExponentStandard errorPrefactor
6.9 m US metaorders, 2007 to 20090.470.010.15
The same, impact surface fit0.520.010.207
399 k European metaorders, 20100.449none reportednon communiqué
Proprietary futures, 2007 to 2010, small tickabout 0.5none reportedof order unity
The same, large tickabout 0.6none reportedof order unity
1 m Bitcoin metaorders, 2011 to 2013about 0.5none reportedabout 0.9

Published estimates of the exponent in the relation between metaorder size and price impact, from studies whose full text was opened. Only one of the six reports standard errors on its exponent. The prefactor spread is the practical problem: 0.15 on the largest sample against about 1 in the paper that is usually cited.

Fitted on nearly eight million metaorders, the square root impact law's own coefficient of determination is 0.0035. It describes conditional averages, not individual trades, and the one paper that prints that number does not discuss it.

0.47, standard error 0.01Exponent on the largest verified sample
0.15, standard error 0.01Prefactor on the same sample
0.0035Coefficient of determination of the fit
about two orders of magnitudeRange of order sizes where it holds

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