Stats › Intraday et microstructure de marché › Overnight drift
The S&P 500's overnight edge paid 3.7% a year, then stopped in 2021
Average return in basis points per day, S&P 500 E-mini futures, 1998 to 2020. These are the four hours the paper states numerically; the other twenty are not quoted here because the paper does not list them individually.
One hour of the overnight session carried the S&P 500 E-mini's entire excess drift for twenty-three years, worth 3.7% a year. Two ETFs launched to harvest it in 2022. Both closed within fifteen months, and the effect has been flat since 2021.
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