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Stats › Active, passive and flows › Day trading odds

Of the Brazilians who day traded for more than 300 days, seventeen made more than the minimum wage

1 day: 29.8%+29.8%1 day2 to 50 days: 15.5%+15.5%2 to 50days51 to 100 days: 8.9%+8.9%51 to 100days101 to 200 days: 6.8%+6.8%101 to 200days201 to 300 days: 5.4%+5.4%201 to 300daysOver 300 days: 3.0%+3.0%Over 300days

Share of day traders with positive net profit, by how many days they persisted. Every individual who started day trading Brazilian mini index futures between 2013 and 2015, tracked in regulator data: 19,646 new traders, of whom 1,551 persisted beyond 300 days. The curve slopes the wrong way for a learning story.

Of 1,551 Brazilians who day traded index futures for more than 300 days, 97% lost money and seventeen earned more than the minimum wage. In Taiwan, about 20% of day traders are profitable in a given year and under 1% predictably so.

3.0%Share with positive net profit after more than 300 trading days
17Of those 1,551, the number earning above the minimum wage
8The number earning above a bank teller's starting pay
-$48.81Mean daily net profit across the persistent group

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