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The numbers inside the revised market risk capital rules, from the 97.5 per cent shortfall to the backtesting ladder

Backtesting exceptions in 250 daysMultiplier applied
0 to 41.50
51.70
61.76
71.83
81.88
91.92
10 or more2.00

Basel Framework MAR32.9, Table 1, version in force from 1 January 2023. These are rule parameters, not estimates, so no significance statistic applies.

The revised trading book framework replaced value at risk with a 97.5 per cent expected shortfall across five liquidity horizons, and ties a bank's capital multiplier to how often its model failed. The whole ladder runs from 1.50 to 2.00.

97.5%, one tailedExpected shortfall confidence level
10 to 120 daysLiquidity horizons used
1.50 to 2.00Backtesting multiplier range
over 12Desk exceptions that force the standard approach

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