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Stats › Cotations, IPO et opérations sur titres › Market cleanliness

The share of UK takeovers preceded by a suspicious price move went from 7.7% to 41.1% because the measure changed

MesureJurisdictionFigureWhat it measures
Abnormal price move before takeover, intraday methodRoyaume-Uni41.1% in 2025, 37.8% in 2024Five minute prices, 48 hour window
Abnormal price move before takeover, daily methodRoyaume-Uni7.7% in 2021End of day prices, two day window
Abnormal option volume before takeoverÉtats-Unis25.12%30 days before announcement, 1,859 deals
Abnormal stock returns, same sampleÉtats-Unis7.26%Same deals, price rather than options
Abnormal stock volume, same sampleÉtats-Unis18.93%Same deals, volume at the 5% level

These are not five estimates of one quantity. They differ by jurisdiction, by instrument, by whether price or volume is tested, by window and by threshold. The United Kingdom rows cannot be spliced into a series, and the regulator says so explicitly.

The regulator's market cleanliness statistic reads 41.1 per cent for 2025 and 7.7 per cent for 2021. The two numbers come from different methods, and the regulator states the change is not an indication of any deterioration.

41.1%Market cleanliness statistic, 2025, intraday method
37.8%The same statistic for 2024
7.7%The 2021 figure, daily price method
33.74%Five year moving average under the new method

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