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Stats › Listings, IPOs and corporate actions › Market cleanliness

The share of UK takeovers preceded by a suspicious price move went from 7.7% to 41.1% because the measure changed

MeasureJurisdictionFigureWhat it measures
Abnormal price move before takeover, intraday methodUnited Kingdom41.1% in 2025, 37.8% in 2024Five minute prices, 48 hour window
Abnormal price move before takeover, daily methodUnited Kingdom7.7% in 2021End of day prices, two day window
Abnormal option volume before takeoverUnited States25.12%30 days before announcement, 1,859 deals
Abnormal stock returns, same sampleUnited States7.26%Same deals, price rather than options
Abnormal stock volume, same sampleUnited States18.93%Same deals, volume at the 5% level

These are not five estimates of one quantity. They differ by jurisdiction, by instrument, by whether price or volume is tested, by window and by threshold. The United Kingdom rows cannot be spliced into a series, and the regulator says so explicitly.

The regulator's market cleanliness statistic reads 41.1 per cent for 2025 and 7.7 per cent for 2021. The two numbers come from different methods, and the regulator states the change is not an indication of any deterioration.

41.1%Market cleanliness statistic, 2025, intraday method
37.8%The same statistic for 2024
7.7%The 2021 figure, daily price method
33.74%Five year moving average under the new method

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