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Stats › Valorisation › Default rate chaos

Six European crowdfunding platforms publish default rates on six incompatible definitions, and one publishes two that differ by a factor of eight

Platform and countryPublished rateWhat the denominator isFenêtre
EstateGuru, Estonia27.45% (2023), 20.14% (2025)non defaulted loans at 1 January of the yearannual, 2020 to 2025
October, France5.53%capital lent, portfolio totalas of 16 March 2024
October, France, same page46.71%outstanding capitalas of 16 March 2024
Lande, Latvia5.61%1,956 non defaulted loans7 February 2024 to 31 December 2025, about 23 months
HeavyFinance, Lithuania9.66%principal in default over principal issuedno date published
Bondora, Estonia and Finland, research sample22.5%10,002 loans, lifetime21 February 2009 to 11 November 2016
Lietuvos bankas, Lithuanianot a default rateoverdue against active contractssupervisory returns

Each figure is published by its own author as a default rate. None of them measures the same thing. The two October figures appear on the same page, computed from footnotes 9 and 10 of that page.

Article 20 obliges every authorised loan platform to publish default rates on a prescribed method. Reading the disclosures gives figures from 5.53 to 46.71 per cent, with denominators, windows and day counts that do not match each other or the method.

5.53% to 46.71%Range across the disclosures read
27.45%Highest single annual rate found
4 of 6Platforms publishing a default definition
2 of 6Platforms publishing an as of date

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