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Thirteen of twenty eight published copy portfolio track records contained back tested data

PortfolioMonthly alphap valueDaten
FuturePayments+0.145990.0519Back tested
CryptoPortfolio+0.103040.1216Back tested
Sharp trader+0.012090.0322Live
GainersQr+0.006620.0381Live
GoldenEnergy-0.012020.0068Live
TheBigBanks-0.008250.0480Live

Jensen's alpha against the S&P 500, monthly, January 2017 to January 2020, with heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent standard errors. Of 28 portfolios, 7 alphas were negative and 21 positive, and 9 were significant at the 10 per cent level. The comparison between the back tested and live maxima is an arrangement of values that each appear in the source.

A study of 28 published portfolio records on one platform found 13 included back tested rather than live performance. The two largest positive alphas in the sample both came from back tested series, at ten times the best live result.

28Published portfolio records examined
13Of those, records containing back tested data
+0.146Largest monthly alpha from a back tested series
+0.012Largest monthly alpha from a live series

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