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After the MiFID II tick regime the closing auction grew a quarter and its overnight reversal disappeared

Maatstaf20172018Test
Reversion coefficient, returns above 10bp, Europe-0.297+0.027Significant at 1% in 2017, not significant in 2018
Reversion coefficient, returns above 30bp, Europe-0.406+0.061Same pattern
Reversion coefficient, returns above 10bp, United StatesPresent-0.693Significant at 1% in both years
Share of auctions moving more than 30bp, European large caps7.35%11.58%Significant at 1%

STOXX Europe 600 large caps against a benchmark of 250 randomly selected S&P 500 stocks, which were not subject to MiFID II. A negative coefficient means a large auction move reverses overnight. This is a preprint and has not been through peer review.

Closing auction volume in European large caps rose 26% in 2018 against 2017, and the overnight reversion of large auction price moves vanished. The same test on 250 United States stocks shows reversion still present in 2018.

+26.4%Closing auction volume, European large caps, 2018 against 2017
13.08 to 15.28 basis pointsMean absolute closing auction return, large caps
-0.297 then +0.027Overnight reversion coefficient for moves above 10bp, 2017 then 2018
-0.693, significant at 1%The same coefficient for 250 United States stocks in 2018

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