Stats Long run returns Inflation

Inflation cuts the S&P 500's 9.79% a year to about 6.9%

15: 0.1%0.1%1516: 1.3%1.3%1617: 2.1%2.1%1718: 2.4%2.4%1819: 1.8%1.8%1920: 1.2%1.2%2021: 4.7%4.7%2122: 8%8%2223: 4.1%4.1%2324: 2.9%2.9%2425: 2.6%2.6%2526: 3.5%3.5%26

From 1.2% to 8.0% and back down inside three years. Source: US Inflation Calculator, using BLS CPI data.

Every long run stock return is quoted before inflation unless someone says otherwise. For the S&P 500 since 1928 that difference is roughly three percentage points a year. About a third of the headline return only preserved purchasing power rather than adding to it.

9.79% a yearS&P 500, nominal
about 6.9% a yearS&P 500, after inflation
17.4%Highest year, 1917
-10.5%Lowest year, 1921

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