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Industry size erodes fund performance and fund size does not

Level and specificationEffecttAuthors' assessment
Own size, pooled0.17 bp a yearabout -2likely to be biased
Own size, with fund fixed effectsabout 2 bp a yearabout -9biased
Own size, recursive demeaningabout 2.5 bp a yearabout -0.6niet statistisch significant
Industry size, no fixed effectsnegatief-1.9marginally significant
Industry size, with fund fixed effects-0.0326% a month-3.6strong negative relation
Industry size, 1979 to 2011roughly double the simple estimate-4.3significant
Industry size, recursive demeaningvirtually identical point estimatesmaller but significantsignificant

3,126 funds, with the main panel covering 1993 to 2011 and an extended panel 1979 to 2011. Fund counts rise from 145 in 1979 to 1,574 in 2011. All regression estimates use gross benchmark adjusted returns. Own size is measured per 100 million dollars, inflated to December 2011 dollars; industry size is the fraction of total stock market capitalisation held by the industry, measured per percentage point.

A bias free estimator finds no significant relationship between a fund's own size and its performance, with a t statistic of about minus 0.6. The same study finds a robust industry level effect of roughly 40 basis points a year per percentage point of industry share.

about 2.5 bp a year, t = -0.6Own size effect, bias free estimator
-0.0326% a month, t = -3.6Industry size effect, 1993 to 2011
almost 40 bp a yearThe same annualised
about 20 bp a year, t = -4.3Over the longer 1979 to 2011 sample

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