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Stats › Options, shorts and positioning › 0DTE and volatility

0DTE options have made the S&P 500 less volatile, not more

SpecificationCoefficientt
Year x day-of-week fixed effects-0.00613-2.99
Year x week x time fixed effects-0.00456-4.91
Adding day-of-week effects-0.00627-3.02
Difference-in-differences, Tuesday and Thursday-0.00540-4.27

Effect of 0DTE presence on ten-minute realised S&P 500 volatility. Every specification is negative. 42,831 observations, January 2018 to May 2022 for the baseline.

Same-day expiry options are blamed for destabilising the market. The only study with a clean natural experiment finds the opposite: on days when 0DTE contracts expire, ten-minute realised volatility runs about 61 annualised basis points lower, roughly 7% below the mean.

-61 bpAnnualised effect of 0DTE presence on ten-minute realised volatility
7%That effect as a share of the 9.10% sample mean
11 May 2022Date SPX went from three 0DTE expiries a week to five, giving the experiment
Over 45%Share of all SPX option volume that was 0DTE in 2023

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